Cybersecurity Stocks: H2 2025 Research & Outlook

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Jan 29, 2025
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Cybersecurity Stocks: High‑Level Research & H2 2025 Outlook

The cybersecurity sector continues to outpace broader tech, propelled by cloud adoption, AI‑driven threats, and regulatory tailwinds.

Market Snapshot
• Gartner forecasts global cybersecurity spend to reach $219 billion in 2025, +14 % YoY.
• The Nasdaq Cybersecurity Index (NQCYBR) is up 22 % YTD versus the NASDAQ’s 17 %.
• IPO pipeline remains active with SASE and data‑protection specialists.

"Venture Global, CoreWeave, SailPoint IPOs rank as biggest of H1"
Reuters

Valuation Table (EV/Sales FY2026E)
| Company | Ticker | EV/Sales | Comment |
|---------|--------|----------|---------|
| CrowdStrike | CRWD | 15.2× | Best‑in‑class retention (124 %) |
| Palo Alto Networks | PANW | 11.8× | Platform consolidation story |
| Zscaler | ZS | 13.5× | Zero‑trust pure‑play |
| Fortinet | FTNT | 7.1× | Margin expansion via services |
| SentinelOne | S | 9.6× | Rapid ARR growth, path to FCF+ |

Key Themes for H2 2025
1. Platform Consolidation – Enterprises seek single‑vendor suites; favors PANW, CRWD.
2. AI‑Powered Threat Detection – Winners invest >20 % of revenue in R&D for AI models.
3. SASE Expansion – Cato Networks and Netskope IPO buzz highlights network‑security convergence.
4. Regulatory Tailwinds – EU NIS2 enforcement from October 2025 could drive compliance spending.

Under‑the‑Radar Picks
Arctic Wolf – MDR specialist with 120 % net retention.
Wiz – Cloud security unicorn rumored to file S‑1 by year‑end.
Darktrace – AI‑driven UK vendor trading at 6× sales, takeover target potential.

Risks
• Macro slowdown could extend sales cycles.
• Valuations remain elevated versus software peers.
• Vendor overlap may spark price competition.

Bottom Line
Cybersecurity’s structural growth story is intact. Focus on leaders with >30 % ARR growth, expanding margins, and platform breadth.

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